Swing State Poll 'Isn't So Welcome' for Democrats, Nate Silver Says
Trump also led Harris in North Carolina—currently the closest state in the race—by 2 points, on 49 percent to Harris's 45 percent. North Carolina has not voted Democrat since 2008, with Trump winning it by under 75,000 votes in 2020. The poll surveyed 116,000 voters and had a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points across the three states.